Sunday, 7 August 2016

How do we increase the number of Welsh speakers?

Published in Llanelli Star on 3rd August 2016


At the National Eisteddfod this week First Minister Carwyn Jones announced our ambition to almost double the number of Welsh speakers to one million by 2050.

This is a hugely ambitious policy and reflects the worry about the dip in the number of people who speak the language captured by the last census.

The Welsh Labour Government have set out a policy of increasing the number of places in Welsh medium schools, and when we led Carmarthenshire Council we put in place a plan for achieving this that is now being carried on by the Plaid-led administration.

In practice this involves converting schools that currently have Welsh and English language streams running side-by-side, into Welsh-medium schools.

As someone who was educated in the Welsh stream of a bilingual school in this county I think it is a shame to end the tradition we have of having a mix of languages in our schools. Those worried about the weakening of the language fear that unless you immerse children in Welsh we will struggle to create fluent speakers who use the language every day. I understand that concern.

On the other hand, we know there is a shortage of teachers able to teach Welsh, and many English-language schools struggle to get skilled staff to teach Welsh as a second language. The advantage of having dual-stream schools is that all children are educated in an environment where Welsh is a vibrant part of the school culture.

This is one of the reasons why some of the parents in Llangennech are fighting plans to turn the school into a Welsh medium one. There are a number of good reasons why Llangennech should carry on as a school for the whole community, but the arguments are falling on deaf ears. And if the currently policy continues this will be happening to the other dual-stream schools in the county too.

If we are to get close to our ambition of having a Million Welsh speakers within a few generations we need to address the teaching of Welsh in all our schools - and amongst adults; and not only focus on increasing the number of Welsh medium schools.

Action on steel

Published in Llanelli Star on 13th June 2016


The decision of Tata steel to ‘pause’ its search for a new buyer for the Trostre works and its other plants is a worry.

To keep Port Talbot and the other plants running for more than a year or so will require a company with deep pockets - and the willingness to dip into them.

When I met the Chief Executive of Tata in the UK a few weeks ago he told me that he was not convinced that any of the bidders who had come forward had the ability to keep the plants open for more than a few years.  

Tata proudly see themselves as responsible owners (and to be fair they put essential investment into Trostre) and they want to make their sure they are seen as responsible sellers.  They don’t want to be seen in the same way as Sir Phillip Green who cut and run after selling BHS.

Tata clearly didn’t think any of the bidders were serious, and with companies finding it harder to find investment in the aftermath of the EU referendum they’ve decided to put a stop to the sale process..

But some sceptics think Tata had no intention of selling to a company that would be their rival in any event. The fear is that the announcement that they will instead explore a merger with the German steel-maker ThyssenKrupp will allow them to wind-down Port Talbot over the next couple of years as they intended all along.

A tie-up with ThyssenKrupp could lead to a consolidation of steel production at Tata’s Dutch plant at Ijmuiden, and once that is secure Port Talbot could be closed to take out excess production capacity from the system.

For some reason the Welsh Secretary Alun Cairns has welcomed this merger.

We need to look carefully to see if there’s anything that can be done to secure the future of the Welsh plants.

The Welsh Government has put money on the table with a clear offer of help. The UK Government have yet to make a concrete offer of support and they must now stop talking and start delivering

Tuesday, 26 July 2016

Labour’s problems go way beyond Jeremy Corbyn

Published on IWA's comment site on 21 July 2016




So, the Labour Party is in crisis - plots, rebellions, protests: the whole nine yards.

As a recovering political journalist I feel pretty jaded about the whole thing. Fundamentally, the Labour Party is pretty solid and has been through all this before  - several times.

But. And there is a big But. Maybe this time it’s different. I’m not overly bothered by the division between Jeremy Corbyn and Owen Smith - it is the meat and drink of politics, but what does greatly trouble me is the growing divergence between those inside the party and the people we were founded to represent.

Successful political parties reflect the communities they are drawn from. That became very clear to me when I first joined the Labour Party in the mid-90s. In parts of the constituency where the local branch was a good cross-section of the local community we did well; in parts where it wasn’t, we did not.

I’ve spent much of the last 12 months knocking on doors; not just of the doors of people we think we’ll get a reasonable welcome from, but on every door. And the experience has been a salutary one: a worrying number of people who you might expect to look to the Labour Party for an answer to their problems have switched off politics altogether, and too many of those who still have some faith in the political process now look to UKIP.

There are signs of a profound disconnect between our party and ‘our people’ (as we’ve paternalistically called them for too long). We saw the result of that in the EU referendum: 90% of the Labour Party members voted to Remain; But 64% of voters categorised as working class (C2s), and those out of work (DEs), voted to Leave the EU.

This is what should be troubling and pre-occupying us: the chasm between the leaders and the led. And instead of addressing it we’re exacerbating it.

Every political party faces the tension between furthering their own set of core values and responding to public opinion. And that’s where Leadership comes in, to balance these tensions, and persuade people to follow a course of action which honours the values of the party and chimes with the priorities of the electorate.

The modern Labour Party is failing to do that. That was true before Jeremy Corbyn became leader, and it has intensified since. There are complex reasons for this, but they have far-reaching consequences for us as a political movement. But where is the searching debate challenging ourselves to respond to this profound disconnect with our voters?  Instead we seem to want to fall back onto certainties.  We are increasingly talking to ourselves, while the voters look on in bewilderment.

This is typified by the debate over the leadership. Labour’s problems go way beyond Jeremy Corbyn, but without the right leadership we’ll never be in a position to address them.

In modern politics unless you have a leader who is seen as having the potential to be a credible alternative Prime Minister you are dead in the water.

Though I didn’t vote for Jeremy Corbyn, I totally understood his appeal. His opponents were so bland, and symbolised how as a party we had lost our way.

I shared a platform with Jeremy in Burry Port earlier this year and praised the fact that he has re-energised the party, but noted that to bring about change we have to win. Sadly (and I take no pleasure from this) Jeremy Corbyn’s personal poll ratings are disastorous.

He is a polarising figure. He may be popular amongst Labour Party members (56% support him) but the general public appear unmoved by his leadership qualities.
Whilst the polls show that he is seen as more honest than most politicians, when people are asked if Jeremy Corbyn has what it takes to become Prime Minister 68% disagree. He is even less popular than Ed Miliband and Michael Foot were as Labour leaders (and by quite a margin).

These facts cannot be dismissed. And they matter.  

Just 76% of people who voted Labour in 2015 say they’d do so again if there was a fresh General Election with Jeremy Corbyn as leader.  

His supporters say this is simply a reflection of the fact that Labour MPs haven’t given him a chance, and have been undermining him. Whilst it is true that some MPs refused to serve under him, the majority have respected his mandate and have tried to help him succeed. But an alarming number of them have drawn the conclusion that it won’t work.

Lilian Greenwood is a typical example. By no means a Blairite, she told her local party, more in sorrow than in anger, “I wanted to make it work and I promise you, I tried to make it work. In the 9 months I spent in the Shadow Cabinet I never briefed against Jeremy...But through my own personal, direct experience I know that Jeremy operates in a way that means progress...is impossible. He is not a team player let alone a team leader”.

Similarly my colleague Nia Griffith - who has never said a single negative thing about Jeremy Corbyn to me, even in private - felt it was impossible to carry on in his Shadow Cabinet after getting nowhere in trying to persuade him to come up with a plan to keep the party together.
Even Mr Corbyn’s own economic adviser, Richard Murphy, has described what he saw within the inner sanctum as ‘shambolic’; “there was no policy direction, no messaging, no coordination, no nothing” he said. “ All that I have got so far from the Labour left is a message of what it is opposed to. That’s something. But it’s a long way from being enough” he wrote.

These can’t all be dismissed. These are all people who have tried to work with Jeremy, and even they’ve thrown their hands up in despair.

We are letting the Tories off the hook. The last time a Conservative Government was still ahead 12-18 months after an election was in 1984 during the miners strike. And the Tory fresh start under Theresa May is boosting them further still.

The voters, and his close colleagues, have drawn the same conclusion - for all his merits, and his sincerity, Jeremy Corbyn can’t beat the Tories.

And yet, the more he is attacked, the more his supporters feel vindicated in backing him. People are still joining Labour in their droves to show they believe in him.

There is a gulf between the Labour Party and the people it was created to represent; a gulf between new enthusiastic members and the people who have traditionally supported us; and a gulf  between the Leader and the rest of the party in Parliament.

This is a grave moment in the history of the Labour Party. Our new Government is the most right-wing in living memory and they are going to be creating a new settlement for our country outside the EU in the face of an imploding opposition.

We can recover. But to help the people we were created to help we need more than posturing and slogans. The first step is to elect a Leader who can regain our credibility in the eyes of the public, can unite the party in Parliament and can start to put together an ambitious policy vision for healing our society.

I know Owen Smith, he is one of the brightest talents of his generation. He combines a genuine passion to change society, and a rich understanding of our party’s history and mission, with a political sophistication to make the most of our opponents weaknesses.

I don’t agree with him on everything, but I genuinely believe he represents our best chance to reconnect, and re-think our purpose.


Lee Waters is the Welsh Labour & Cooperative AM for Llanelli

Sunday, 12 June 2016

My personal take on the EU referendum

Published in the Llanelli Herald on 10th June 2016



The claims and counterclaims of each side in the EU referendum campaign are bewildering.

Leaving the European Union will cause our economy will crash. Or, leaving the European Union will free us to grow faster and produce more jobs. Which one are we to believe?

Within the next three weeks we are being asked to make the biggest decision for a generation, and we’re being fed a diet of fear - by both sides.

I’ll be voting to Remain in the EU because it provides hope for a better future.

For me this is not a decision about short-term benefits. In fact it is a very personal decision based on the sacrifices of previous generations, and my hopes for my children’s generation.

70 years ago my grandfather leapt from planes into machine gun fire to help secure a bridge in Arnhem. I witnessed the scars this brave man bore from what he witnessed in the Netherlands, and across the deserts of North Africa, fighting for our freedom so that me and my children don’t have to do the same.

His generation faced the hell of two World Wars within 50 years of each other - both with their origins in conflict between European States. After that war the European Union was created to stop this happening again. By binding the economies of these former enemies together we have had 70 years of peace and prosperity.

We now take this for granted, but we really shouldn’t. Bringing dozens of countries together - and keeping them together - has been the outstanding achievement of the post-war generation. And it has everyday benefits - easy travel and study across the continent; rights in the workplace from safety to maternity benefits; and vastly improved environmental conditions - from blue flag beaches to cleaner air.

We hear a lot in this referendum about ‘sovereignty’, and about EU bureaucrats telling us what to do. But the real story is that by being part of this super-alliance we have opted to share decisions with our neighbours to secure shared benefits. In an unstable world this is a smart thing to do. None of this is inevitable, and it could quickly unravel if we left the EU.

The idea that by leaving we can keep the best bits of EU membership and opt-out of the disadvantages is a reckless fantasy. What’s more it leaves us under-equipped to deal with the threats we face.

The big challenges over the next 70 years we’ll face as a continent are climate change, terrorism and mass migration (which will worsen as climate change makes many areas uninhabitable). All of these threats are too big for one country to tackle alone. We need to pull together, to pool the risk and share the benefits. That’s what the European Union was designed to do, and for all its flaws, continues to do.

And that’s why I’ll be voting to Remain on June 23rd.


Lee Waters is the Welsh Labour AM for the Llanelli constituency

Friday, 20 May 2016

Time to get serious

This column appeared in the Llanelli Herald on May 20th

Two weeks after the elections and Wales, at last, has a First Minister and a Cabinet.

With 29 of the 60 seats in the Senedd Welsh Labour are by far the largest party, but we don’t have a majority of seats. Nor did we have the majority of votes cast.


We all need to acknowledge that Wales has entered a new phase of multi-party politics. There are now five parties represented in the Assembly, and the style of politics that operated 50 years ago when two major parties dominated will no longer work in an environment where loyalties are fractured.

I’m sorry that Plaid Cymru seem to be adopting such an aggressive posture in the Senedd. Firstly they tried to use their 12 AMs to launch an audacious power-grab in the Assembly - linking up with right-wing parties they swore in the campaign they’d steer clear of.  And this week, despite taking part in talks which allowed us to form a Government, refused to settle on a long-term arrangement to bring stability to the Government of Wales.

I hope we can take some of the aggression out of the debate. I’m all in favour of Government based on consensus.  I’m really encouraged that there is a progressive majority in the Assembly - 42 of the 60 members represent parties of the centre and left and should be able to broadly agree on the main issues.

Labour of course have a part to play in that.  We had a terrific result in the circumstances, had it not been for the unexpected loss of the Rhondda we’d still have 30 seats - and nobody predicted that.

But it could easily have been different. In our delight at winning 29 seats it would be foolish to airbrush the fact that we had just 35% of the vote. Of course that it is partly a function of the new five-party scene, but nonetheless it stands as a warning not to take anything for granted.

The story of Scottish Labour is a chilling one. We can avoid their fate, and can still be the dominant party in Welsh politics, but we can’t be the dominating party - that’s the cultural shift we need to absorb. People don’t want that type of politics anymore.

So, let's switch the focus back on to what unites us, rather than what divides us. The people of Llanelli, and Wales, deserve nothing less.

Lee Waters is the Assembly Member for the Llanelli Constituency

Thursday, 5 May 2016

We can do better than this

Speech delivered at the declaration of the Llanelli constituency on May 6th 2016





I was born and raised in this constituency, and I cannot tell you how proud I am to have been chosen by the people of my community to represent them in our National Assembly. I promise to do my very best, and to be true to myself.

I’ve had some incredibly frustrating conversations over the last six months on the doorsteps of this constituency. Too many people have given up. Too many people want to talk about what we’ve lost in the last 30 years, and not enough want to set their minds to what we can do about it in the next 30 years. That’s what I want to try and change.

I don’t have a magic wand. But I do have an intolerance for mediocrity. We can do better. But only if we demand more of ourselves. And only if we work together.

I know there is genius in this constituency, and there is passion. Let’s harness it. Lets come together and focus on what we can agree on, not on what we disagree on.

I must thank the returning officer, and all the people who have made today and tonight possible - including, of course,the police. We, rightly, take democracy for granted, but it is an extraordinary thing. And it relies on people standing up to be counted. I’d like to pay tribute to my fellow candidates. Standing for election is tough. But we have all given the people of Llanelli a choice. And we can be proud of that.

I’d like to pay particular tribute to Helen Mary Jones. She had represented the Llanelli constituency over many years. I said at the start of the campaign I like and respect her and I'm pleased to say at the end of the campaign I can say the same and I look forward to joining her in the campaign to keep Wales within the European Union.

I thought long and hard before standing. I only did it because I believe that unless people who feel that Wales can be better, stand up and be counted, we’ll never do better.

But I hesitated because I’m conscious of the impact that this all consuming mission has on those around you. My family is more important to me than politics. I have kept them away from the campaign but I am only able to stand here because of their support. Behind the scenes my 7 year old daugher has stuffed envelopes; my 11 year old son has encouraged me, and my mother has been my most energetic campaigner from the beginning.

My greatest support though has come from my wife. She has supported me throughout, and has given me the strength to keep going. She loves me and wants me to do my bit. And my greatest thanks tonight go to her.

I owe enormous thanks to the volunteers of the Llanelli Labour Party. We have run an energetic, passionate campaign, which has demonstrated beyond doubt that it can never be said again that Labour takes Llanelli for granted.

There are too many volunteers to mention - but every one of them has my heartfelt gratitude. My particular thanks must go to my agent, Chris Beer, and to Nia Griffith. Llanelli has an incredibly hard working,and dedicated MP and I’ve been lucky to have her by my side over the last six months.

I’m proud to follow in the footsteps of Keith Davies who has been a dedicated AM for Llanelli over the last 5 years. And I’d like to thank him for his personal support. And to our other former AM Cathryn Thomas who has been a frequent campaigning companion, and source of much wisdom and encouragement.

The next 5 years will be vital ones for Wales. And, I hope, the beginning of a better era for Llanelli.

Whatever the results from the rest of our country in the next few hours, it is clear that all members of our National Assembly must co-operate for the good of the people we have been elected tonight to represent.

Let us embrace that challenge with enthusiasm, not reluctance. There is more that unites us than divides us, so let us find a unity of purpose. And work, Together for Wales.



Tuesday, 3 May 2016

A fresh voice for Llanelli

This column appeared in the Llanelli Herald on April 22nd




In the final week of the campaign minds will focus on what’s at stake in this election.

I’ve been very clear throughout that I’m not standing because I think everything is ok, I’m standing because I’m convinced we can do better and I want to do my bit to help.

I’m not a party hack. I’ve been ITV’s Chief Political Correspondent for Wales and now run the leading independent policy institute, the IWA. I have a mind of my own and I will not hesitate to speak up, or speak out, to fight for the whole of the Llanelli constituency.

Our National Assembly reaches adulthood next year - it will have been in existence for 18 years. And it is time for a new generation of people to energise the Assembly.

My priority will be to develop a long-term economic plan for the Llanelli constituency. In the thousands of conversations I’ve been having over recent months I’ve been struck by the despondency that has set in - too many people are resigned to decline. But we don’t need. to be. We have huge advantages in this area, and great people - so let's plan for a better future.

I will bring people together to set a vision for the type of economy we want in Llanelli in 30 years time and then work across party divides for the good of the area I’m from.

And Welsh Labour’s manifesto offers practical policies to help families too.

If we are successful we will deliver the most ambitious childcare offer in the UK. This will mean 30 free hours of childcare for working parents - covering 48 weeks worth of care for 3 and 4 year olds.

We will fund 100,000 extra apprentices by the end of the next Assembly. These won’t just be for young people but for all ages.

We’ll also help people who are worried about their hard earned savings being eaten away by care home fees. We will double the capital limit they will be allowed to keep on the sale of their home should they need to go into care.

We will give a tax-break to small businesses in Wales using our new powers on business rates. This new scheme will benefit over three quarters of business premises in Wales. Half of all eligible businesses will pay no business rates at all.

And finally, we will develop a New Treatment Fund in Wales to ensure that people suffering life-threatening conditions can have access to the latest medicine and treatment.

Taken together they amount to an ambitious plan for the next 5 years. And with fresh blood in the Assembly we will deliver this, and more.



Lee Waters is Welsh Labour’s Assembly candidate for Llanelli